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Bloomberg also has its own consumer comfort index published weekly.Meanwhile, the National Federation of Independent Businesses publishes a monthly survey showing sentiment among small firms.

Seconds later, however, it looks like there could be trouble.

employers created new positions at a healthy pace in July, adding 164,000 workers while the unemployment rate held at a near half-century low.

In a world where economic indicators come with a lag, most data is naturally backward looking.

Inversions of the yield curve, however, have preceded recessions for the past 50 years, North says.

“The relationship between confidence and spending is pretty loose in the short run,” Sweet says.

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